Time to dream of distant shores, time to let imagination soar.
Time to search out worlds afar, time to reach out for the stars.
Dawn space probe orbits asteroid Ceres, its white spots beckoning. Asteroid mining next, for building space colonies? New Horizon space probe aims for a speedy bulls eye through the Pluto system. Philiae lander wakes up on Comet 67P ready for duty. CubeSat’s solar sail is deployed in Earth orbit ready for 2016’s full scale sailing. Evidence for humans beginning their off-Earth migration?
Time to dance to the joys of life, time to sail into wide blue horizons. Time to leave our worrying save-the-world warriors behind. The new Eco-Modernist Manifesto (no relation to the Communist Manifesto?) belatedly welcomes humans back to Earth: “human prosperity and an ecologically vibrant planet are not only possible, but also inseparable” as skeptics have been showing since the 1970s. But most enviros are still not so hospitable.
Also, bee numbers increase with neonics, but that won’t stop the politics. Oh well.
Chocolate “sting” paper tricks science journalists worldwide. Roger Pielke Jr says it best: “meaningful relationships ought to be detectable with simple methods and robust to alternative methodological approaches. If the effect you are looking for requires a complex model, data transformed away from intuitive units or sophisticated statistics to detect, then the effect that you think you have found is probably not practically significant”, as in Climate, Environment, Nutrition, Social & Psychology “Science”.
And new (political ideological) “skeptic movement” blocks out skeptics. How one’s name changes one, as evidence and argument are exchanged for Groupthink “right thinking” – the desire for impressive answers leads to excess certainty and an over-reliance on experts to quell doubts. Unfortunately today not enough skeptics see the value of critical thinking when it leads to an honest “I don’t know”.
So … time to dream on shores afar and time to dream of humans off to the stars.
Time to relish life in the summer sun & time to live the life of cake mate.
Open Space Enjoying Brady
Moving from an emotion-based to an evidence-based society has its pleasures: Generating sensory hair cells to restore hearing gets even closer. Ceres, the large asteriod belt dwarf planet, shows its white spots to the orbiting Dawn spacecraft: ice lakes or geysers or …?
More:“Good news! The United Nations report on global food markets predicts that food prices will be driven down this year by high food inventories.” Peak cropland, peak farming, forest transition and nature rebound are spreading across the globe, despite the Enviro’s best efforts to stop it. “Environmentalism is a rather new political ideology, and possibly a religion or a substitute for traditional religion. Embracing new, abstract, and somewhat ambiguous values like “nature” and “the environment” is just assumed to be equivalent to rationality or something.” Now that’s an opposing viewpoint
And more: Brave souls are even trying to drag Social Psychology into the 21stC. “If you must criticize scholars whose work challenges yours, do so on the evidence, not by poisoning the land on which we all live.” & “I didn’t care whether students agreed with Lomborg’s conclusions or not but rather that they developed skills of critical thinking.” Oo-wee, way to go humans! And in highly politicized (gender & enviro)
science studies too. Bees are back and going Eco, with activist “scientists” churning out “papers” to support their master’s upcoming US and EU policies to ban neonic pesticides to placate Green voters. Another political maze? Like: China’s largest solar panel maker just crashed, Ponzi like – Oh dear. And the Ozone “Hole” naturally (magnetically?) cycles up again from its most recent 2006 low. And the world continues cooling … Hmm …
Chatham House Rules (don’t say who said what) do wonders for scientific free speach: Lancet (world leading medical journal): “A lot of what is published is incorrect.” & “The good news is that science is beginning to take some of its worst failings very seriously. The bad news is that nobody is ready to take the first step to clean up the system.” But across the Atlantic – 60 yrs of false dietary advice ends, with the US gov now saying: “Cholesterol is healthy, saturated fat is healthy, salt is healthy and sugar is unhealthy.” No “sorry” from these nutrition”people”. Best to just forget them and move on to a happier, healthier world. So many worries waged on our world by the wayward worry warriors, it’s almost … silly. However, watching these recent “spring cleaning” attempts gives one hope that all these warriors will be swept out soon … or surely by 2100? 2200?
Evidence-based watcher Brady
NASAs new NExSS institute aims high, looking for life near & far, trying to break its 50yr losing streak. Astrobiology: scientific method based? … or, if no life found after a 100yrs then, a “religious” $$$ making belief in thePromised Land?
Future Perfect:Bound to drive them wild Steven Johnson’s distributed peer networks show a more human (internet-trailblazed) way for a self-running productive society. Fun times ahead. Nick Lane’s explaining life as proton gradients producing order via excess energy comes scientifically nearer to “finding” life than NASA. Peer networks better again.
Spring cleaning 21stC science continues, as Science Direct complains: “The pollution of science and medicine by plagiarism, fraud, and predatory publishing is corroding the reliability of research,” and as Junk Food Science continues: “Nowadays, all of us are on our own to question everything, seek out original sources and do our own fact-checking, research and critical thinking. You’ll be surprised at how much of what “everyone knows” is not true.”
Extinction alarmists going extinct? Aeon Magazine now complains it is not species but decreasing populations we should fear. Moving-the-Goalposts logical fallacy in action?Political Myths abound, explains Roger Pielke Jnr, about science and technology in the economy and broader society. Data show the politically manufactured Green Revolution in 1966s “starving” India was really in famine-free conditions but used as “evidence” for the overpopulation “problem”. Oh well. Today population fears continue, now its the West’s aging populations, ignoring evidence of the growing 2.1+ children trend in richer societies.
So, humans, “If at first you don’t succeed …”, lets keep the vision high. Lets look for life everywhere, care for our populations and planet. But lets also keep our feet on the ground, mired in evidence based on the scientific method and logical arguments. So we may soon find that life down here is happy and that the advanced intelligent life out there is … us.
7 billion people on Earth, 3.6 billion with little or no electricity & Earth Hour-ers burn oil candles in the dark to “raise awareness” about our healthy and blooming planet … keeping “them” there. From Children’s Crusades to Witch Hunts to Eugenics to … Lets aim higher.
Our fossil fuel and food demonizing “eco-loons” are again in full retreat this month: “The next time that somebody at a rally against fossil fuels lectures you about her concern for the fate of her grandchildren, show her a picture of an African child dying today from inhaling the dense muck of a smoky fire.” Apoplectic they went, against counter evidence.
Food bonanzas rebreak 2015s predictions :”the world’s farmers have provided a growing population with more food per head, year after year, largely without cultivating extra land or using extra water or chemicals.” Time to crack down on enviro-ideologists so all can enjoy the cornucopia? Govt dietary “food plate” advice is facing heavy attacks: “For decades, they’ve been told what to eat because “science says so.” Unfortunately, that doesn’t appear to be true.” Jon Stewart has fun with Govt Academy Dieticians too
However some academy scientists are trying to distinguish the pursuit of knowledge from political ideology: “Academic freedom is the freedom of the faculty to teach and speak out as the fruits of their research and scholarship dictate, even though their conclusions may be unpopular or contrary to public opinion.” The new Galileo’s Middle Finger also sets the science achievement bar high, as it should: “the “stunningly lazy attitude toward precision and accuracy in many branches of academia”. In her view, chasing grants and churning out papers now take the place of quality and truth. It is a situation exacerbated by a media that can struggle when covering scientific controversies, and by strong pressures from activists with a stake in what the evidence might say.” Lets be better!
Aiming to Achieve Brady
Well well well, we’ve won once again
“World cereal stocks at the close of crop seasons ending in 2015 would surge to 627.5 million tonnes, up 8.3 % from an already large volume at the start of the season and its highest level in 15 years.” and “Compared with any time in the past half century, the world as a whole is today wealthier, healthier, happier, cleverer, cleaner, kinder, freer, safer, more peaceful and more equal.”
This calls for a song. A hug-your-hominans song! Still the One
We’ve been together since way back when, Sometimes I never want to see you again, I want you to know, after all these years, you’re still the one I want whisperin in my ear, You’re still the one — who can scratch my itch, Still the one — and I wouldn’t switch,
We’re still having fun, and you’re still the one.
But hey, lets not let boring data replace scary stories. “Ocean Deaths Now!” scientivists’ hearts are jump-started back to the scientific method: “biases; no evidence; not skeptical”. Even no-raw-data-required Nature science journal distances itself from ocean alarmists’ “groupthink”. However our PC media are still not with Charlie here.
“2014: Warmest Ever!” becomes: only 38% chance, after 1997 & 2005, not statistically significant, continuing cooling trend. Still warmer than the 1850s Little Ice Age. Great! These sorts of Pathological Politicized Science and its Stealth Advocates are now being reined in with Honest Broker restraints in the EU & US.
So, let’s end the old and begin 2015 with this amazing image of stars like sand grains in our next door Andromeda Galaxy, on its way to meet us in 4 billion years. However, what with us making new worlds of Ceres (between Mars & Jupiter) and Pluto in 2015, & Kepler data narrowing in on Earth 2.0s, then maybe, with even more scientific optimism,
… we’ll visit these wonderful Andromeda worlds years sooner than that.
Aiming High Hominan Brady