Well well well, we’ve won once again
Let’s review the year. How are the humans going? The world is getting richer: poverty drops to single digits (9.8%) down to 700 million, even with a growing population. Food Glut: record food harvests & low prices = feeding future billions (one?) on less land with less fertilizers. Lifespans worldwide are up. The Great Enrichment (unplanned prosperity) continues apace, says Deirdre McCloskey, by individual humans specializing, innovating & freely networking. Great!
How about the cuddly little animals? The walrus seem to be happy : “Pacific Walrus populations “increased from 50,000 to 100,000 animals in the late 1950s to more than 250,000 animals by 1985,” and they are believed to have now reached their maximum carrying capacity. Svalbard polar bears are “fat as pigs” & up 42%, even with their ice poor Barents Sea. Bees are still thriving and nature rebounding. Peak cropland, peak farming, forest transition and nature rebound are spreading across the globe.
And the pretty plants? The Sahel desert is greening again, from more CO2, leading to increased plant water use efficiency. Earth’s green biomass is rising and increasing crop yields by 10-15%.
And how is Earth’s biosphere going (Gaia to Greens)? The 18 year 9 month global temp pause (cooling?) continues, even with increasing CO2. Arctic ice is thickening and the deep oceans are still cold & alkaline. The new Eco-Modernist Manifesto even welcomes humans back to Earth: “human prosperity and an ecologically vibrant planet are not only possible, but also inseparable” That’s an improvement!
Energy prices drop worldwide (good for poor people) as the fracking (shale-gas/oil) revolution goes global & produces an oil glut. China races ahead with 100 advanced nuclear reactors to 2025, 400 to 2050, at 1/3 cost & in 1/2 time as in the West.
Democracy– up; child safety – superb; war deaths-flatlined; homicides- drop. That’s good!
This calls for a song. A hug-your-hominans song! Still the One
We’ve been together since way back when. Sometimes I never want to see you again.
I want you to know, after all these years, you’re still the one I want whisperin in my ear.
You’re still the one — who can scratch my itch, still the one — and I wouldn’t switch.
We’re still having fun, and you’re still the one.
This optimistic evidence is now getting out to humans: Hans Rosling – Don’t trust The Media to understand the world, check facts & arguments yourself. Matt Ridley & Steven Pinker just won the Munk Debates arguing that humankind’s best days lie ahead. And 5 data scientists become world famous for showing that facts can win over fear.
We caring humans, are still too often tricked into destructive baseless beliefs by fear & righteous emotions from deep down in our ancient lion-in-the-grass African savannah brains, … as our world bounds into a fantastic 21stC future. But even this problem is being solved, with Homo sapiens (& school children ) more often using critical thinking to check evidence & arguments with the scientific method and logical reasoning.
These failures are our road to success as we humans move into
Green green megacities, leaving wilderness blooming & nature rebounding, while we achieve mighty things, on our journey to reaching the nearby stars.
Fantastic Future Trend Watching Brady
- Australo-Scando sapien Ascending
- Pleasant Travelling
- Free Space
- Anglosphere Ascending
- Exiting Exuberance
- Running Rampant
- Seeing Sensibly
- Sunny Side Up
- Reasoning Rising
- Best Year Ever Again, Continuing Trend
- The Sense of Scientific Style
- Prudently Preventing Prevention
- The Great Enrichment
- Herding Humans
- What Mad Pursuit
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