Hello fellow Life Lovers,
But fear not! Our official Life Lovers are planning to save us …
“New UN science body to monitor biosphere – ‘IPCC for biodiversity’ approved after long negotiation”
Now we have an advance copy of this world biodiversity TEEB report ,..
… but the problem again is … even at this early stage it is riddled with “IPCC like” errors. These ecological errors have happened (lots) in the past too. Like world leading ecologist Prof. Paul Ehrlich’s famous 1981 prediction:”… half the world’s species extinct by 2000 and all gone by 2010-2025″
What is the real story behind this biodiversity “crisis”? Are ecologists using dirty test tubes … again? When did the “science” of biodiversity begin to go so terribly wrong? Well …
(thanks to Willis Eschenbach for his original work)
The Bottleneck Problem (or … what’s wrong with The Species-Area Formula?) – which says: 90% decrease in area = 50% species loss (E.O.Wilson 1963), see Mann, C.C, 1991, Extinction: Are Ecologists Crying Wolf? Science, 253, 5021, 736-738.
Fact #1: This happened in the 1800s, so we have had more than 100 years to see the ‘barely hanging on species’ die out, and they haven’t. The IUCN (World Conservation Union, the organization which manages all species threats and extinctions with it’s famous Red List) found this evidence quite disturbing as to the species-area relationship.”The coastal forests of Brazil have been reduced in area as severely as any tropical forest type in the world. According to calculation, this should have led to considerable species loss.Yet no known species of its old, largely endemic, fauna can be regarded as extinct.
The Brazilian Atlantic rainforest has been cut down by about 90%. Yet, when the Brazilian Society of Zoology analyzed a group of almost 300 animals they could not find a single species which had died out. Likewise, when they examined their list of plants, they could find no extinctions either. Stewart, 1992, Species extinctions in tropical forests, in Whitmore & Sawyer, 1992, Tropical deforestation and species extinction, Chapman & Hall Press, London
Fact #2: The largest tropical study of the correlation between rainforest and the extinction of species was carried out on the island of Puerto Rico by Ariel Lugo of the United States Department of Agriculture. He found that the primary forest had been reduced by 99 percent over a period of 400 years. Only 7 out of 60 species of birds had become extinct although the island today is home to 97 species of birds. Gentry, 1986, Endemism in tropical versus temperate plant communities, in Soule, Conservation Biology, Sunderland Press.
Fact #3: Few species went extinct when the eastern forests of the U.S. were reduced to 1 to 2 percent of their original area.- Simberloff, 1992, Do species area curves predict extinction in fragmented forest?, in Whitmore & Sawyer, 1992, Tropical deforestation and species extinction, Chapman & Hall Press, London
Now, that was 3 clean test tubes against E.O.Wilson’s 1 dirty test tube. Do you think that the ecologists changed their minds 20 years ago when presented with this falsifying evidence? … Nope.
That ecologists base their “we are saving the world” ideology heavily on computer models rather actual observations is accurately documented in many critical books such as Prof. Aynsley Kellow’s 2007 critique about the virtuous corruption of virtual environmental science.
“This book argues that the virtual nature of much environmental science and the application of non-science principles such as the precautionary principle facilitate the virtuous corruption of environmental science. Drawing upon examples from conservation biology and diversity Prof. Aynsley Kellow illustrates that the problem is more widespread than this area alone would suggest and is common in the important field of climate science. He argues the importance of reliable science as the basis for environmental policy and management …”
He shows the absurd effects of an ideology running Ecology, such as the example of the Loch Ness Monster and the Swedish Storsjön Monster being officially listed as endangered species.
See Kellow’s numerous other examples, starting on page 17. These are not nearly so rare instances of “conservation gone wrong” as we would hope.
Sooooo …. where does that leave us in 2010? What do scientific observations tell us about the Earth’s biosphere? Do Ecologist’s computer programs match the facts?
Well … let’s start with our real green friends: The Plants of Planet Earth.
“Steven Running of the University of Montana and Ramakrishna Nemani of NASA … found that over a period of almost two decades, the Earth as a whole became more bountiful by a whopping 6.2%. About 25% of the Earth’s vegetated landmass — almost 110 million square kilometres — enjoyed significant increases…”
But what about The Amazon? You know the A-M-A-Z-O-N ???
“The largest increase was in tropical ecosystems. Amazon rain forests accounted for 42% of the global increase in net primary production, owing mainly to decreased cloud cover and the resulting increase in solar radiation.”
Oh, what great news! Don’t tell The Greens or they’ll be furious. Especially don’t tell the WWF (World Wildlife Fund) or their $60 billion rainforest money making scheme might fall through. Now that’s what I call Big Business or should I say … Big Green? 🙂
Here in my home university town of Uppsala, just north of Stockholm, we have the Agricultural University as well as Uppsala University, with their ArtDatabanken, …
… sharing some of the riches of this Unitied Nations driven money pot (almost 1 billion Swedish crowns. “… Ett [propaganda]jippo som SLU aningslöst har accepterat och ställt upp på”. WOW! … or in English, for you non-Swedish speakers out there 😉 : ” … A propoganda-cart which the Agricultural University has willingly accepted and supported“)
Anybody else out there think that the plants are … growing? Yessiree!
Galloping Jungle – farmlands revert back to nature as saving the rainforests becomes less urgent
Tear down the Amazon rainforest idol ‘Save the trees’ more political myth than environmental truth.
Tropical Rain Forest: A Political Ecology of Hegemonic myth making
Tropical rainforests: exposing the myths
Shaky science behind save-rainforest effort
Clear-Cutting the Myths About the Amazon and Tropical Rainforests
OK … Animals … now it’s your turn to speak up about your extinction prospects. What say ye noble beasts?
“No continental forest bird or mammal is recorded as having gone extinct from any cause.” … such as habitat reduction – WOW!
Let’s check this claim by cross checking the environmental organisations’ “impartiality challenged” IUCN Red List of endangered, threatened, almost threatened, has-to-be worried, let’s include it anyway, you’ll never get off our list, and extinct animals …
… with the more independent and scientific … CREO extinction lists.
“3 continental mammals have gone extinct — 1 antelope hunted to extinction, and 1 rare rabbit and 1 rarer antelope gone from unknown causes. 6 continental birds have gone extinct — 3 prolific terrestrial bird species hunted to extinction, and 3 single-habitat freshwater bird species hunted, drained dry, eaten by fish, and polluted to extinction. This historical record of 9 continental extinctions in 500 years contrasts starkly with Wilson’s predictions of over thirty continental bird and mammal extinctions per year, each and every year.”
NONE by habitat loss in these 500 years!
But how about the Dodo, you know … the D-O-D-O ?
“…95% of all recorded bird (129) and mammal (61) extinctions (over 500 years) are island or Australian species” … these were the last places on Earth that had been separated from the continents, for 40 million years or so since te depths of the last Ice Age, and hence the initial introduction of European species into island habitats was a one-time only event.
The BIG problem with these Blasted Beasts is that they refuse to die off!
Exhibit A: Aug. 5, 2008 — Wildlife researchers said Tuesday that they’ve discovered 125,000 western lowland Gorillas deep in the forests of the Republic of Congo, calling it a major increase in the animal’s estimated population
Exhibit B: 3 April 2009 – The world population of Irrawaddy Dolphins was thought to be just total about 900. However the Wildlife Conservation Agency has just found a population of over 6000 Irrawaddy Dolphins in the Sundarban mangroves of Bangladesh.
Exhibit C: 1 June 2009 Using satellite data, the scientists found 10 new colonies of penguins. Overall, 38 colonies were spotted from above, according to Fretwell’s paper, published in the journal Global Ecology and Biogeography.
And how about the fishies of the seven seas? What say ye, our fine finned friends?
Here are the famous fished-to-extinction Sockeyed Salmon:
“Fishery officials estimated Tuesday, 31 Aug 2010, that more than 25 million sockeye salmon will return to the Fraser River this year, the largest number since 1913. Last year’s return was 1.7 million — the lowest in more than 50 years. And the estimate could yet go higher as Tuesday’s test catch was the largest all year, said Barry Rosenberger, area director for the Department of Fisheries and Oceans.”
These natural booms and busts in fish populations have been known for years, but ecologists apparently refuse to look at the evidence, for unknown (non-scientific?) reasons. See Patterson, R.T., Prokoph A.,Wright, C., Chang, A.S., Thomson, R.E., and Ware, D.M., 2004. “Holocene Solar Variability and Pelagic Fish Productivity in the NE Pacific”. Palaeontologia Electronica, v. 6 (1). 17 pp.
ignoring the inconvenient truths of the non-extinction of real species
+ the wide acceptance by ecologists of the false model of the species-area formula
= a true ecology of dirty test tubes.
Best biological wishes,
Life-loving and life-enjoying Brady